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George Chantry, professional A-Level Economics tutor

The loanable funds diagram (crowding out) — A-Level Economics

Play the game and get tested on every point of the diagram — every wrong answer gets a diagnosis. Then study the answers below. Measure what you don’t know, then fix what you don’t know.

▶ Play the game

The diagram

Loanable funds diagram for A-Level Economics on a labelled grid: an upward-sloping supply of funds with demand shifting right from D1 to D2 as the government borrows, the interest rate rising from r1 to r2 and private investment falling from I1 to I2, with every point lettered

The interest rate is simply the price in a market for loans: savers supply the funds, borrowers demand them. Government borrowing adds a colossal extra customer, so demand shifts right from D₁ to D₂ and the equilibrium moves from E (r₁, I₁) to F (r₂, total lending Q₂). Read private demand along the ORIGINAL curve D₁ at the new rate r₂ and you land on G: private investment has fallen from I₁ to I₂. Total lending is up; the private share is down.

The game’s questions — with the answers explained on the diagram

These are the exact questions the game asks. Play first if you want the real test — or study them here with the answer for each one.

1. What shifts the demand for loanable funds right from D₁ to D₂?

The government borrowing heavily to fund a budget deficit. Savers are the suppliers in this market and borrowers are the demanders, so households saving more would shift SUPPLY. A change in the interest rate itself is the price, so it only moves you along a curve. During Covid the government borrowed £400 billion, around 20% of the economy: a huge customer turning up and wanting an enormous quantity puts demand pressure on the price.

2. Government borrowing shifts demand from D₁ to D₂. Which point is the new equilibrium?

Point F. Equilibrium is where the supply of funds crosses the NEW demand curve. Total lending rises from 4 to 5 and the rate rises from r₁ to r₂. Point G matters too, but it answers a different question — how much of that lending is still going to private firms.

3. Which point on the interest-rate axis shows the higher interest rate?

Point B, r₂. Read across from the new equilibrium F to the rate axis. Point A is r₁, the rate before the government started borrowing. That rise from A to B is the entire cost of crowding out — everything else follows from it.

4. Complete the crowding-out chain: government borrowing → interest rate rises → …?

Borrowing becomes more expensive for firms, so private investment falls, the capital stock grows more slowly and long-run productive potential is lower. With a finite supply of savings, the government and the private sector compete for the same pool of loanable funds. Government borrowing raises demand for those funds → the equilibrium interest rate is pushed up → financing investment costs firms more → private I falls → the capital stock grows more slowly → long-run productive potential is lower than it would have been. The short-run AD gain comes at a long-run supply-side cost. Concretely: the business that wanted to borrow £50k now pays 10% interest, not 5%, so the project no longer stacks up.

5. Which distance shows the private investment that has been crowded out?

The distance L to H. Find private investment on the ORIGINAL private demand curve D₁ at the new rate r₂: that is point G, giving quantity I₂ (point L on the axis). Before the government arrived it was I₁ (point H). The horizontal distance L to H is the private investment squeezed out. Note both facts are true at once: total lending went UP from 4 to 5, while the private share went DOWN from 4 to 3. Saying both is what earns the mark. The distance H to M is the extra lending the government took on, and A to B is a price distance, not a quantity.

6. Evaluation: when does government spending crowd IN private investment instead?

In a demand recession with high spare capacity. The Keynesian counter: public spending lifts demand and improves the infrastructure firms operate on, raising private-sector profitability and expectations. Infrastructure in particular complements private activity — lower logistics costs, new commercial opportunities — and firms find demand for their goods has risen, so the expected return on investment improves. Private I rises rather than falls. Weak evaluation says “it depends”; strong evaluation says what it depends on and resolves it. Here the hinge is spare capacity: in a recession, crowding out is at its weakest.

Now test yourself

Every point on this diagram has a letter. Answer with the points and the distances, exactly like the exam. Every wrong answer gets a diagnosis — that is the diagram telling you what to fix.

▶ Play the loanable funds game

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